Monday, 31 March 2008

Monday's round up

Profit for the day £105.62
The major loss of the day was"Pistol Desbois" it was in the 4.5s
That hits profits hard the first lay of the day "Samuel Charles" was low at 2.5 when it won the hit on the bank wasn't to hard.
Bad luck ?
As I said earlier I think you can only put it down to bad luck a few times,this connection must have lost me three times as much as hes won me !
The last sentence answers my question stop using him !
The results for March are the worst so far £-814.17
It was always going to be difficult to get back in profit after a week of heavy losses.
I hoped I may of been able to get back to even but it wasn't to be, this is my first monthly loss I didn't like it.
When I talked about targets I think that is going to be the way forward in April.
You have to look at the figures they don't lie
1)Drop the bad connection
2)Stick to targets then close down
3)Watch the market and go with your instinct
Start fresh tomorrow

Results

"Handcuff" right result
"Pistol Desbois" a very disappointing result for two reasons the connections for this horse have a had a number of wrong results it may be time to drop them or not but the selections on the blog .
440-Lingfield-Rock Peak
Back after with the days round up

Results

"Samuel Charles" powered home and with a wrong result, we did have a 25% reduction with a non runner.I could of should of hoofed it but I am unwell !!
"Calbourg" The right result but was never under ten on betfair so would go on the account as a no bet
"We have a dream"the right result all round went of at six on betfair which is still high but workable
Next Lay.
330-Southwell-Hancuff
350-Wincanton-Pistol Desbois
Back with results and more @ 355

Newsflash

240-Lingfield-We have a dream

Too-much-too-young is unwell

Still feeling unwell
Going to go slow today two at a time
210-Lingfield-Samuel Charles
230-Southwell-Calbourg
Back with results and more
Remember your target !

Sunday, 30 March 2008

Up date

Two out of three
The first race turned in to a three horse race with a number of fallers which gave the wrong result with "Souwester" winning !
The other two went the right way
A profit of £35.47
This week profit of £268.97

100th post

Well on my 100th post on the blog I should be popping the champagne,but I've been in bed for the last two days with a throat infection which has knocked me for six!!
Three for today,
250-Wincaton-Sou wester
435- " -Just Jaffa
435-Kempton-Laudamus
Hopefully the medicine should start working soon and I should start feeling better
Three right results would be a good start

Thursday, 27 March 2008

"NEWSFLASH"

250-exeter-Jigsaw Dancer
Remember your target

Thursdays lays

Target locked in !
335-Lingfield-Spin Again (favourite)
355-Exeter-Oceanos des Obeaux
Two more after 400

Wednesday, 26 March 2008

Newsflash

OK I started to lay the seed with the start of today's blog " greed" have a target and stick to it !
On to many times the system has thrown up a number of lays per day sometimes more than six the law of averages shows that your on a losing wicket hoping to get the right result with more then four lays.
The information may be correct the system maybe be right BUT a big but can you take the risk because that what its all about "risk management"
So a target must be set per day £50 £ 75 £100 £ 200 anything !
Now the hard part "the walk away" close down for the day, tomorrows round the corner its not Las Vagas its Southwell on a wet Wednesday afternoon !!
It has to be the way forward including the four posted earlier today I hand another five lays for today,now human nature says that I will check the results but!!
I'm happy to walk away with £100-£150 per day ?
Eleanor and myself are locked in to this new attitude join us !
A profit for the day with only two lays of £169.70

Todays lays

Here we go then remember stick to your targets don't get greedy.
415-Newcastle-April son
415- " -Guns and butter
435-Southwell-Shifty
520-Newcastle-Andy Anshan
820-Wolverhampton-Nanosecond
more later

Yesterdays results

All four lays lost
The last two where both over 10 which is my limit
But yesterday I made a school boy error and backed when I should of lay ed .
So from a nice profit of £ 146.00 I ended up £230.46 down for the day !
So a new stake plan a target for each day if reached STOP.
Todays lays coming up later

Tuesday, 25 March 2008

Tuesdays lays

Four lays for today,
240-Pontefract-Swinbrook
300-Sedgefield-Astronormic (no bet if Turbo Shandy is a non runner)
430-Fontwell-Lord Appellare
440-Sedgefield-Deuteronomy
Back with results

Monday, 24 March 2008

Results

Both today's lays lost
A profit of £197.68
"Honours Dream" was around 6.0 which is always a worry as your liability's are high even with a protection bet.
The main problem with laying for me,is the fact that with one or two wrong results you can wipe away your profits and your bank!
Do I keep the lays under 4.0 and just go with second or third favorites as are high priced lays are coming home in second or third place anyway which is a little scary.
Answers please ?

Bank Holiday Monday

Two today both at Chepstow,
3.35-Chepstow-Nudge and Nurdle
4.10- " -Honours Dream
I think a touch of Hoofing may be in order on the 4.10
Back with results

Sunday, 23 March 2008

Sundays round up

Nothing more than very disappointing !
With three out of five lays winning
Bad selections ?
Bad luck ?
A very bad habit which I need to put to bed !
Is it now possible to break even for March ?
Yesterdays losses of £456.72 make that look very difficult
I think some connections may have to be changed and also trading on each lay instead of just letting it run,this take more time and concentration but needs must.
Nothing yet today but Eleanor's connection in Ireland have flagged up some but nothing confirmed.
I can see the corner I just need to get round it
TMTY.

Saturday, 22 March 2008

Saturday Lays

Two nice losing lays,
Ruling Reef was very high @ 8.6 put still under 10
425-Kempton-Malt or Mash (favourite)
445-Haydock-Young Smoky
450-Carlise-Corlande
More later

Saturday Lays

Here we go,
245-Kempton-Fastella
255-Newton Abbott-Ruling Reef
Back at 400 with more
Remember watch out for non runners

Friday, 21 March 2008

Good Friday

Nothing to Lay today.
Tomorrow going to be busy
At least five lays, so a good chance to get back in to profit !

Thursday, 20 March 2008

Thursday.....

Wednesday first, out of five lays posted on the blog
One lost !
Three won ??
One scratched !
So overall not a good day !
With three lays winning its a big blow to the profits
Nothing happened today as I was out in London all day
Its happened before it will happen again, as soon as you start getting some confidence in the system it kicks you where it hurts most the pocket !
I think I can get back in to profit for March
Tomorrow being a bank holiday I have to see what out there
So brush are selves down put your best foot forward and lets lay a nice little Easter egg !

Wednesday, 19 March 2008

"NEWSFLASH"

Just in
2.20-Market Rasen-Ocarto
Non runner if Shematra gets scratched
More later

Wednesdays Lays

Here we go,
3.50-Chepstow-Massing Sunset
4.45-Lingfield-Sands Crooner (this is the favourite so smaller stakes, normal non runner rules apply)
5.20-Lingfield-Warming up
7.50-Kempton-Tinnarinka
Should be a few more later
Have your targets and stick to them !

Tuesday, 18 March 2008

Tuesdays results

All five lays lost
So a profit for the day of £245.32
I hoofed the first and the last lays toady,the first because of a change in the market and its better not to Chase profit from the first trade.
The second because I went in hard with a £100 lay and didn't want to lose the days profit on the last trade and my bottle went !
So I backed it with £50 and lowered my liability's to half, but it lost so I still came out £ 50 up minus commission.
Lets keep it up tomorrow
Click on the video bar for some good old ego polishing !!
News flash
4.50-Exeter-Honours Dream
results later
News flash
4.50-Exeter-Honours Dream
results later

Tuesdays lays

Four so far today,
2.00-Kempton-Outlandish
2.45-Exeter-Militant man
3.00- Kempton-Tension Mounts
4.20-Exeter-Holy joe
Watch out for non runners
More later

Monday, 17 March 2008

Mondays results

Two good results with a profit of £142.09 for the day.
Lets keep it up tomorrow

Mondays Lays

Here we go,
2.30-Wolverhampton-Red Rudy (no bet if Blue sky Thinking scratched)
4.20-Taunton-Mighty Moose.
More later

Sunday, 16 March 2008

Sunday best.........

Nothing today
After Thursdays Nightmare the last few lays I did yesterday I added a "Protection bet"
I will explain after I'd laid the horse which I had done a hour before the off I then backed the same horse at a higher price then the lay.
This cut my liability's down by half and my profit !
One school of thought double your liability to half your losses
The name of this procedure "hoofing"
You can do it "in play"with a higher back price that could cancel out any losses.
Worth pondering over a few jars !

Saturday, 15 March 2008

Saturday nights alright

Results round up
Back on track
All five lays lost with one being scratched from the race
So a profit of £272.41
Well this week I'm not going to make a profit but I'm going to try for the month
Is it a mind set or just a bad day at the office ?
Thursday day was bad, did I learn form it ? YES
Will I do it again ? properly
The original question still stands, can you be a winner by being a loser ?
The experiment has to be given a year ,at £ 12k a year being the target
Have a plan stick to it !

Saturday

The fight back start here !
Positive mental attitude !
Enough bull....
Today's lays are
2.45-Newcastle-Galant Nuit
4.55-Wetherby-Sharp reply(no bet if Frankie Figg gets scratched)
5.30-Lingfield-Bee stinger
6.20-Kempton-Moayed
6.50- " -Meydan Dubai
7.20-Kempton-Avoca Dancer
Watch out for non runners click on the rules tab on the right hand side of the Betfair race page.
If one gets scratched after you've laid the horse back the same horse to cancel out any large losses
Results later

Friday, 14 March 2008

BLACK THURSDAY

YESTERDAY WAS A COMPLETE DISASTER,
Every single rule I have given myself I broke !
A black armband will now be worn on my arm every year to remember the disaster.
Profit/loss for March now looks like this £-789.90
A long hard road to get back it to profit for the month
Looking on for a positive note
January £ 181.00
February £ 1464.81
March £ TBC
I'll have todays lays up just after 1 o'clock

Thursday, 13 March 2008

Thursdays lays

Ok here we go,
1.05-Cheltenham-Air force one
1.40- " -Dear Viles
2.20- " - Voy por Estedes
2.55- " -Our Vic
2.55- " -Mossbank
3.15-Southwell-Boundless prospect
More later

Wednesday, 12 March 2008

Todays results

A bad start today with "Lady pilot" winning the race so a loss of £-238.49
On a good note all the other six lays all lost
So I ended the day with a profit of £49.47
The new "watch live"button on Betfair is great the only down side was watching "Lady pilot"
win the race !
Its still very hard to keep to my own rules especially when you start the day with a bad result
I'm going to try to keep to rules tomorrow which is going to be difficult because its going to be a busy day
More tomorrow

Wednesdays Lays

It was all going so well maybe to well !
With eight lays in total yesterday and two wrong results at the end of the day.
Eleanor was in charge of the account yesterday so thanks for that.
He call me and asked me a question ?
He said " your £ 250 up do you want to continue or close down for the day"
Of course being Greedy I said "no carry on in for a penny in for a pound"
After that I lost £249 which should be a lesson learnt
Have your targets and stick to them !
So I ended up with a profit of £55.64
So today's lays are,
1.40-Huntingdon-Lady pilot
2.50- " -Dundindge Native
3.00-Southwell-Yes one
3.40- " -L'art Du Silence
5.05- " -Jalons Bridewell
5.40- " -Dressed to dance
7.50-Wolverhampton-Salute
Back with results later

Tuesday, 11 March 2008

Tuesdays lays

Very busy day today with birthdays, Cheltenham,Sedgefield,and Southwell,
215-Sedgefield-Drumnavaddy Lough
315-Cheltenham-Sizing Europe
330-Sedgefield-Laurie dean Melody
340-Southwell-Alexander Hurricane
505-Southwell-Minus Fifteen
No lays over 10 and watch out for non runners.
If a horse gets scratched and it looks like being a threat to the lay(making the lay the favourite) back it as well this should cancel out any large losses
More later

Monday, 10 March 2008

Monday

With the weather the way it is, not a great deal of good laying opportunity's today
Eleanor came up with a late one that I couldn't get on the blog
4.10-Stratford-Northall lad which went off second favorite
It lost and gave us a profit of £83.11 for the day
So a good start to the week
With Cheltnham starting tomorrow its going to be a busy week
Will the weather give us a few surprise results ?
Going back to Saturday seven trades with one wrong result
Eleanor and other connections all marked "Another Genepi " up as a lay.
I didn't watch or listen to the race so I'm still not sure what happened I do know the price shortened before the off.
I was happy to end the day with a loss of only £-8.52 as I did hear that other traders got hit hard to the tune of £ 750.00
More tomorrow

Sunday, 9 March 2008

Sunday

Yesterday ended with a loss of £-8.52it could have been better and it could have been alot worse
So this week ends with a profit of £323.88 not the £500 target but still a nice profit

Saturday, 8 March 2008

Saturday

Yesterday first not a great day with two lays coming in first !!
Top mark being the big shock went off at 10 on betfair and was as high as 15 at one point
With Brigde of Fennay not a shocker more of a 50/50 chance of going are way but it wasn't to be
That's why is called fishing not catching !
The stats look like this for the week so far
24 lays with 6 wrong results
Profit for the week so far £332.40
It would be nice to reach the £500 mark today
Today's Lays
2.05-Sandown-Gansay
2.15-Ayr-Moon Hawk
2.25-Wolverhampton-Bonus (If Jack Sullivan is a non runner a no bet)
3.35- " -Plum pudding
4.10- " -Kamal (If Ten down is a non-runner a no bet)
6.20- " -Another Genepi (if Lethal is a non runner a non bet)
6.50- " -Nigella ( if Fast Freddie is a non-runner a no bet)
One small win or place bet today as well
2.25-Wolverhampton-Love lace
Back later with results

Friday, 7 March 2008

Two more for Wolverhampton,
7.20-Wolver-Bridge of Fermoy
8.50-Wolver-Cybersnow
Topmark the wrong result, it hovered around 10 and then went out to 15 !
Lets see if we can come back in profit for the day

New look

I'll be quick and put todays lays up and go over yesterdays results and todays later,
2.50-Leicester-Appollo Creed
3.35-Ayr-Topmark
4.35-Leicester-Can't buy the time
8.20-Wolverhampton-Over ice
More later..

Thursday, 6 March 2008

Up date,
I mistake with the horses
650-Music box express
visa versa.

Thursday

Three lays so far today
2.00-Lingfield-Cyborg (small stakes)
6.50-Wolverhampton-Traichrlis
8.50- " - Music box express
more later

Wednesday, 5 March 2008

Results

Two losers winning, the first being the first lay of the day so not a good start!
With a large number of lays like we had today, a 100% strike rate would have been a right result but we didn't make it...
So I ended up in profit - £49.03 for the day
We all know it's a long game with true results only coming in month by month, not day by day
The targets have been smashed for Jan and Feb, so it's on the right track
I'm very excited about going to the Betfair seminar tomorrow
I'm still very interested in hearing more about hoofing' which I hope will be covered
Lays for tomorrow up after 1pm
With a full report form Betfair HQ
Oh yes I forgot mention the free drinks and nibbles

Wednesdays Lays

Nine today here we go,
2.40-Lingfield-Turners touch
3.10- " - Sion hill
3.40- " - August gate
3.50- Catterick - Cool operator
4.00- Fontwell - River indus
4.20- Catterick - Stoneriggs merc
6.50- Wolverhampton-Crimes faith
7.20- Wolverhampton-Chjmes
8.20- " -John potts
Remember watch out for non runners and do not lay over ten
Results later

Tuesday, 4 March 2008

Tuesday...

Five lays in total today
Thanks to Eleanor for managing the account today
We had two winners out of the five lays today so a loss of £164.86
Back in the office tomorrow so normal service continues with lays up on the blog after 1pm
Playing catch up tomorrow so I might up the anti !

Monday, 3 March 2008

I couldn't get this one on the blog today but I did lay it
4.50-Wolverhampton-Paul the carpet
A nice profit of £ 127.00
Still finding it hard to up the game to £ 500 liabiltys
No time tomorrow to put anything on the blog untill about six pm

Monday the 3rd

Three lays today
2.40 - Lingfield-Kynie Eleison (it won )
3.10 - Lingfield- Thoughts of stardom
3.40 - Wolverhampton- Millfield
Not a great start lets hope it improves
Back later with the results

Sunday, 2 March 2008

End of the week round up..

Two more nice losers today a profit for the week of £610.01
The question to sleep on tonight is the same as last week should I double the liabiltys and double the profit !!
Double the risk double the loss !!
I'm going to click on the video bar and enjoy the theme tune !

Sunday lunch

Two lays this afternoon,
4.00-Bangor-Spare me
4.40-Market Rasen-Glinger bank
Both of these horses are favourites so low odds so small stakes
The accounts for Feb are a profit of £1464.81
Results later

Saturday, 1 March 2008

I'm a loser baby........

A nice day with all four trades going my way a - profit for the day of £192.50
I played £250 liabilties on each lay today so the statement for the day would read
£1000 risked to gain £192.50
Food for thought?
Anyway, click on the video bar to hear the blog's theme tune!!

Todays lays

225-Doncaster-Dundock
3.10-Kelso-Circassiain
3.50-Newbury-Corran Ard
4.55-Newbury-blazing desert
Watch for non runners

Yesterday first..

Time ran away from me yesterday and I couldnt get any lays up on the blog.
I had eight for the day but only found time to lay four on betfair two of which won so a
profit of £ 14.70
I went to Kempton last night the track and the lighting looked great,but on a cold wet and windy night a few more punters wouldnt of gone a miss !
The three lays I had at Kempton all lost .
I had a good time



Its Saturday again a funny day for laying .
Todays lays up on the blog after one o'clock